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Uncategorized IRES & RECO Data fidelity A recent discussion between a few of us market watchers concerns our data integrity and what sources we should be using. Should we use data only from the IRES system or should we use data from both systems with the de-duplication system enabled. In most of my stats, I only track IRES data. This is […]
Uncategorized FHFA HPI 2022 Year End update FHFA’s HPI index is our best source for overall market appreciation data. The dilemma, the data is very delayed. We now finally have Q4 2022 data, although it would include some sales that went under contract in Sept. 2022. So, we can use this data to see where we’ve been, but the data to show […]
Uncategorized Boulder County – 2022 Asking Price or Better stats The last thing I like to look at each year for the previous year’s final numbers is the strength or weakness of the market in terms of sales price versus list price. Here I’ll be looking at the percentage of homes selling for asking price or better and how that metric has trended over time. […]
Uncategorized 2022 Boulder County Real Estate Market recap This is generally my happy time of the year with lots of numbers and data to look at. This will be the first of several articles talking about how the 2022 Boulder County real estate market played out. As is usual, these stats are IRES data only and may miss sales only attributed in REColorado […]
Uncategorized Early look at 2022 market numbers Well, we’ve almost made it through 2022. I’m writing this article the last week of the year and while we don’t have final numbers yet, I don’t foresee these numbers changing dramatically in the final 4 days of the year. Our market made a dramatic shift late spring this year. Up until that time, multiple […]
Uncategorized Q3 2022 FHFA HPI Updates FHFA released their numbers for their House Price Index for the Third Quarter of 2022 and there were many interesting nuggets. U.S. house prices rose 12.4 percent from the third quarter of 2021 to the third quarter of 2022 according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency House Price Index (FHFA HPI®). House prices were up […]
Uncategorized Marshall Fire Lot update and dramatic drop in Percent Under Contract As we get closer to the one-year anniversary of the Marshall Fire, I wanted to give everyone a look at the progress of the sales of lots where homes were lost. These figures were pulled on Oct. 27th. Anecdotally, it seems like closed prices for lots are dropping. I don’t have hard numbers on that, […]
Uncategorized Interesting changes in the Percent of Single Family Homes I’m seeing an interesting pattern develop in the Percent of Single Family Homes Under Contract across all of Boulder County. In a typical year, we hit the low point in the seasonal cycle sometime in late summer or early fall and then start moving upwards towards the high point of our seasonal cycle which usually […]
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Uncategorized 2021 Sales Price to List Price Ratios for Boulder County This should be the last of my slightly delayed looks at the 2021 market numbers. Here I’ll be looking at the percentage of homes selling for asking price or better and how that metric has trended over time. The data I used for this chart has had any sales concessions deducted from the sales price […]
Uncategorized 2021 Boulder County Real Estate Market Review Time to take a look back at the 2021 sales numbers for the Boulder County real estate market. As is usual, these stats are IRES data only and may miss sales only attributed in REColorado and any sales not reported to the MLS system such as some new home construction sales, for sale by owner, […]
Uncategorized How will the Marshall Fire affect the Boulder County Real Estate Market One of the dilemmas with writing an article a week or so before publication is that you can say things or use a jocular tone that later on becomes painful to read due to intervening events. Last month’s article was one of those for me due to the Marshall Fire happening after I sent my […]
Uncategorized 2021 Early look Welcome to 2022! Hopefully a more normal year in all regards, but we’ll see. I’m writing this the last week of 2021, so no finalized data yet for last year. Let’s take a quick peek at the 2021 data for single family homes in Boulder County compared to the previous year. This data isn’t final, […]
Uncategorized Q3 2021 FHFA HPI numbers for Boulder County FHFA released their numbers for their House Price Index for the Third Quarter of 2021 and there were many interesting nuggets. From the most recent HPI report: U.S. house prices rose 18.5 percent from the third quarter of 2020 to the third quarter of 2021 according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency House Price Index […]
Uncategorized Condo market share returns to normal I wanted to give an update on a statistical trend I started to notice last year. The high percentage of the homes available in the Boulder County market that are condos. When I first charted this percentage last fall, condos made up just over 30% of our active inventory. As you can see below, that […]
Uncategorized Boulder County – Percentage Under Contract Increasing We’re seeing an interesting development in the chart of the Percent of the Single Family Homes that are Under Contract in Boulder County. Every fall, that percentage reaches the bottom of its drop from the summer peak and rebounds, usually climbing through to next summer’s peak. There can be an anomaly each year in January […]
Uncategorized The Return of Seasonality? The question I hear everyone debating right now is when will the “Summer Slump” end or if it already has. Interestingly, I am no longer hearing if the “Summer Slump” will end. Brokers and sellers are debating if the recent upswing in market activity is real or just a couple of atypical data points. So […]
Uncategorized Increasing Price Changes? I frequently will feel something in the market and then look to the stats to see if my feeling is confirmed with hard numbers. Lately, it has felt like I’m seeing a lot more price reductions as sellers try to navigate the “summer slump”. Luckily for a little over two years now, I’ve been tracking […]
Uncategorized Boulder County Replacement Rate The market frenzy continues in most areas and price points in Boulder County. Stories of multiple offers and buyers fiercely battling for new homes hitting the market far outweigh the stories of homes sitting for more than the first week. I’ve heard of buyers offering 15%, 20% and 25% over asking to rise to the […]
Uncategorized Unprecedented Under Contract Numbers in Boulder County The activity in the Boulder County market remains very strong as we move into Spring and a time period where we normally see even more strength. I’ve been trying to find a way to convey to my clients just how atypical the last few months have been and have settled on showing them the charts […]
Uncategorized 2020 Sales Price to Asking Price ratios This should be the last of my 2020 market review articles where I look at the percentage of homes selling for asking price or better and how that metric has trended over time. The data I used for this chart has had any sales concessions deducted from the sales price and is for the ratio […]
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